Recent analysis suggests that Bitcoin may not achieve a new all-time high in the near future, as the sentiment within the cryptocurrency market has shown a notable increase. According to an on-chain analytics platform, expectations among traders appear overly optimistic, which historically leads to price movements in the opposite direction of the prevailing sentiment.
As of September 30, social sentiment data revealed a significant imbalance, with 1.8 bullish comments for every bearish remark regarding Bitcoin . The price of Bitcoin has seen a substantial rise of approximately 14%, climbing from under $58,000 on September 17 to peak above $66,000 by September 28. This marks what could be Bitcoin ’s most successful September since its inception, with gains nearing 12% for the month.
Meanwhile, the Bitcoin Fear and Greed Index, a gauge of market sentiment, has reached a ‘greed’ level of 61, signaling a considerable shift from the ‘extreme fear’ territory it experienced just weeks prior when it fell to 22 on September 6, indicating a drastic change in investor sentiment. This momentum is bolstered by a noticeable positive shift in mainstream media coverage regarding Bitcoin .
However, challenges remain on the horizon that could impact Bitcoin ’s trajectory. Reports indicate a bearish trend in the demand for stablecoins in China, as dollar-pegged stablecoins trading at a discount may indicate waning bullish sentiment. Currently, Bitcoin is valued at approximately $64,406, reflecting a decline of about 12.6% from its previous all-time high of $73,734 achieved in March, according to CoinMarketCap data.
Furthermore, Bitcoin ’s price experienced a slight downturn at the beginning of trading on September 30, dipping nearly 2% within a few hours. These signals suggest that caution may be warranted for those anticipating a swift recovery to record highs.
